Officials say the lowest level at which Glen Canyon Dam can . LinkedIn sets the lidc cookie to facilitate data center selection. Mead was created when the Hoover Dam was completed in 1935. Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better experience for the visitors. Subscribe to stay connected to Tucson. Below 3,490 feet of elevation, Lake Powell dips into a zone where the generation of hydropower by water flowing through the Glen Canyon Dam becomes unreliable. Secondly, Phoenix does not get it's water from Lake Powell. They don't have it under control. Down the Colorado River lies Lake Mead, which is also seeing lower water levels than ever before. Explain that a little bit for us, Luke, and just how dire the situation is for the groundwater in the region. And it doesnt allow ratepayers who rely on power production from the canyon to be forward-thinking and operate under conditions of certainty., Cities, farmers and fish all need certainty when it comes to water, and this is the opposite of certainty, Hawes said. And by themselves they are no longer sufficient to meet the area needs. Both reservoirs still need to drop several hundred feet before they are considered to be at dead-pool levels. The water in Lake Powell is low because the amount of water in the Colorado River has been falling for decades. The district entered 2021 with a record 3.2 million acre-feet of water storage saved up, including 1.3 million acre-feet in Lake Mead. At full pool, Powell's water line lies 3,700 feet above sea level, and at 3,370 feet, it will reach deadpool levels. "You might not see the lush lawns of today and endless fields of alfalfa, but you will see thriving communities and agricultural regions. Theyre roughly 25% full now, saidBrad Udall, a water and climate scientist at Colorado State University. What would constitute that? Lake powell has an electrical generation station there. LUKE RUNYON: Well, Arizona is in the line for the steepest cuts from the Colorado River. This story is part of ongoing coverage of the Colorado River, produced by KUNC with financial support from the Walton Family Foundation. Lake Mead's decline is not happening in isolation, but is the result of a two-decade drought hitting the western U.S. and causing critical water shortages on the Colorado River. If the reservoirs reach dead-pool levels, more than a million people using the electricity could be required to find new power sources. The story has been updated to reflect this information. The sp_landing is set by Spotify to implement audio content from Spotify on the website and also registers information on user interaction related to the audio content. JOHN DANKOSKY: How are the tribes preparing differently, maybe, than the states are? Hes a reporter at KUNC, based in Fort Collins, Colorado. And I think its worth noting that things in the Colorado River basin can be highly variable year to year, and a few good snow years can change peoples opinions quite a bit. They werent able to come up with an agreement. It will be painful but it doesn't mean the area can't thrive. Last week, the lake reached a disturbing new. 84% Of Upper Basin In Extreme To Exceptional Drought This is the highest percentage of land in the river's Upper Basin since 2002, which stands as the region's driest year on record. If the reservoir dips below 895 feet a possibility still years . If levels dropped below 3,490 feet, there wouldnt be enough water flowing through Glen Canyon Dams turbines to generate power. You would have to go back to April of 1937, also twoyears into its initial filling, to find levels that low. Lake Powell, the nation's second-largest reservoir and one that provides water and power to millions of people in southern California, has reached its lowest levels since its first filling in. VigLink sets this cookie to show users relevant advertisements and also limit the number of adverts that are shown to them. Newsweek previously reported that Lake Mead's dead pool level is 895 feet, while Lake Powell's is 3,370. Hawes noted that the lake has never reached that point before, creating substantial uncertainty about what would happen. Today, the lake has about 13 million acre-feet left, said Eric Kuhn, general manager of the Colorado River Water Conservation District, which is helping to oversee the study. Contact reporter Tony Davis at tdavis@tucson.com or 806-7746. Scientists say the current status of Lake Mead is a stark illustration of climate change and a megadrought that could be the worst in the U.S. West in 1,200 years . In an average year, Lake Powell gets enough water that it can release a bit more 8.23 million acre-feet a year. Powell is not drying out in a vacuum.. "Its unfortunate that thelargely natural occurrence of a drought has coincided with this increasing warming due to greenhouse gases," said Flavio Lehner, aprofessor of atmospheric sciences at Cornell University. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Other. And that sponge is very dry right now, and its sucking up all of that water before it can be used as water supply. Frankel criticizes water managers for their inaction in the face of those trends. As of Thursday, Lake Mead was at 1,045.79 feet. An official shortage declaration from the federal government could come as early as this year, as Lake Mead is currently projected to be below 1,075 feet in elevation at the end of 2021. And what does that mean for the users on the river? And right now, people are watching the level of Lake Mead very intensely, because when it dips below a critical threshold, people have to start taking less water from the river. He has mostly covered environmental stories since 2005, focusing on water supplies, climate change, the Rosemont Mine and the endangered jaguar. For those talks to start in the middle of another record-breaking dry period should make it clear to everyone involved: the future of the Colorado River is all about learning to live with less. "It's tough to see," Levy told 12News. Even lower, at 3,370 feet, the reservoir hits "dead pool," at which point water can no longer pass through the dam by the power of gravity. 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And data updated Monday from the California Department of Water Resources' tracker show the reservoir climbing to 60%, still below historical levels for February 72% but significantly higher than it had been. Lake Powell's feeble condition is part of a climate reckoning in the West that links water, ecosystems, food production, and energy generation. Why is Lake Mead drying up? At full capacity, Lake Powell holds enough water to flood the entire state of Kentucky a foot deep. LUKE RUNYON: Sure, so much of the attention in the basin goes towards the rivers largest reservoirs, which also happen to be the biggest reservoirs in the entire United States. This cookie, set by Cloudflare, is used to support Cloudflare Bot Management. If allocations from the Colorado River dip below the levels necessary for some customers to receive hydropower, the real question [becomes] what can our grid accommodate from a hydropower perspective in terms of compensating production losses from Glen Canyon? said Justin Mankin, an assistant professor of geography at Dartmouth College. As snowpack runoff disappeared into dry ground instead of hitting the reservoirs, engineers calculated a 79% chance Lake Powell will fall below its minimum target water height of 3,525 feet above sea level next year. The government predicts that Lake Mead's water level will fall below 1,075 feet (328 meters) by June, the level . I mean, what sort of disputes are coming to the forefront because of this? Creosote is one I personally like to call it the cockroach of the vegetation world because pretty much nothing kills creosote. "The federal government generally prefers to let the stakeholders work things through, Sorensen said. The regions been looking warily at the reservoirs along this long river that winds its way from Colorados Rocky Mountains all the way to Mexico, just shy of the Gulf of California. Page mayor: Lake Powell is not drying up. The Hoover Dam is therefore also at risk of declining hydroelectric power generation as Lake Mead approaches deadpool levels. Its lagging in both the Upper and Lower basins, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration projects much of the watershed totilt toward hotter and drier weatherfor the rest of the winter. She compares the current drought conditions to 2018, another record-breaking hot and dry year just a couple years ago. Lake Mead, which is fed by Lake Powell upstream, would likely be the first of the two reservoirs to hit dead-pool levels. The word unprecedented gets thrown around a lot in discussions about the Colorado River these days, and this is no exception. New York, NY 10004. Used to help protect the website against Cross-Site Request Forgery attacks. These cookies track visitors across websites and collect information to provide customized ads. I would say less than 20 percent, Ostler said. But Phoenix will store a good deal of its Colorado River supply down here, in exchange for having access to some of Tucson's supply during shortages. Is climate change the same thing as global warming? This cookie is installed by Google Universal Analytics to restrain request rate and thus limit the collection of data on high traffic sites. Forecasts dont paint a pretty picture for snowpack either. Out of these cookies, the cookies that are categorized as necessary are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic functionalities of the website. Those are Colorado, Wyoming, New Mexico, and Utah. Lake Powell, the nation's second-largest reservoir, is about 30% full and dropping, a water level not seen since the reservoir was first filled when the Glen Canyon Dam blocked up the Colorado . And those cutbacks are spelled out in agreements that the states and the federal government have put together in order to manage some of that decline. It supplies water and power to Arizona, California and Nevada. We called several of them and asked for discrete numbers that capture the current state of the Colorado River basin. Lake Mead and Lake Powell rise and fall together, said Chuck Cullom, the Central Arizona Projects Colorado River programs manager. The study was financed by the district, which is based in Glenwood Springs, Colorado, along with the Southwestern Water Conservation District in Durango, and four water groups in Western Colorado that represent various interests. Water levels in Lake Powell dropped to a new record low on Tuesday. We don't know if we can release water to meet downstream requirements. Reservoir storage is the best single number that captures two things: how much water nature provides and how much water humans are consuming out of that provision, Fleck said. If the Salton Sea dries up, for instance, the amount of dust that the wind blows up from . Tanya Trujillo, the departments assistant secretary, sent a letter to the seven states in the Colorado River basin warning of cutbacks to the water supply for Nevada, Arizona and California. We are likely witnessing the end of Lake Powell as we knew it in the 80s and 90s, Balken said. Both reservoirs have troublingly low water levels at 1,054.79 and 3,524.22 feet above sea level, respectively. KUNC is solely responsible for its editorial coverage. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Analytics". The vast stripe rimming Powell is a testament to how far its level has dropped since 2000, when the Colorado's flows began a steady decline in response to persistent drought, warming temperatures. They are trying to negotiate a three-state deal that would reduce water deliveries even further, he said. Applying data from three droughts from a 25-year period starting in 1988, it predicted that even with little new growth in that basin, a moderate drought would trigger shortages of 350,000 to 500,000 acre-feet. They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. Lake Mead's water level on Wednesday was measured at 1,044.03 feet, its lowest elevation since the lake was filled in the 1930s. Joining me to shed a little bit more light on this is Luke Runyon. Tony graduated from Northwestern University and started at the Star in 1997. 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