nfl playoff picture espn machine

-- Jordan Raanan, What is most difficult about defending running back Saquon Barkley? Jacksonville clinched the AFC South and the No. It's time to buckle up for some unexpected twists and turns. Playoff Picture Through 15 Weeks 1 of 6 Aaron Doster/Associated Press AFC 1. 1 seed but with two challengers hot in pursuit. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Welcome to the 2023 QB market, Derek Carr: Where he could fit, and why the domino effect already has begun, Is the improvement from Geno, Jalen and Tua real? Bengals beat out Ravens for AFC North: In recent weeks, it has felt inevitable that the red-hot Bengals would win this division over the stumbling Ravens. His 77.8 QBR in Weeks 15-17 (vs. Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis) was second best in the NFL during that span and helped the Giants clinch their first playoff berth since 2016. NFL Playoff Picture Stay up to date with your favorite team to see if they have a chance to make the 2022 playoffs. "He's the focal point of their defense. First-game outlook: The Chiefs have the No. The story of Week 17 is a playoff picture that comes slightly more into focus but still remains blurry heading into the season's final week. Playoff probabilities are updated as the games progress, based on ESPN Analytics' live win probabilities and its NFL Football Power Index projections. But after both teams lose in Week 17, it comes down to a Week 18 contest. Mocks: Kiper | McShay | Miller | Reid 9. Losing nose tackle Bryan Mone was another blow to Seattle's run defense. Miami Dolphins, 7-3 (AFC East leader) 3. -- NFC defensive player. -- NFC defensive player. -- NFC offensive player. "It's not the vertical speed only, it's also the horizontal speed. Baltimore Ravens (10-7) At the time, the FPI gave Green Bay only a 3% chance to reach the postseason. 4. That was against Baltimore early this season. Chicago Bulls +45000 to win NBA title at FOX Bet. Get exclusive access to more than 3,000 premium articles a year from top writers. With an Eagles' win, the 49ers are the No. The ESPN Analytics team's live playoff probabilities -- which combine live in-game win probabilities with our Football Power Index (FPI) season projections -- will provide each team's playoff chances throughout the Week 18 slate. Reason for concern: Their defense has been a liability for much of the season, particularly against the run. Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? "Obviously he's improved a lot. 1 seeds? Make Your Picks. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. A matchup with the Dolphins would be a reunion with wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who played six seasons in K.C. Green Bay also needed a Commanders loss, and it got it and then some from a Cowboys blowout of Washington. Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? ET, Fox). Super Bowl odds: +3000 New York Giants (5-10): Similarly, the Giants can win the NFC East if they beat the Cowboys in Week 17 and Washington loses to the Eagles. Stay on current site or go to US version. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 1.4%. Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; print; The Week 18 NFL schedule for the 2021 season is stacked with great matchups, and we got you covered with what you need to know heading into the weekend. And that's exactly what the Bills do, turning up the offensive heat to blow out the Bengals 37-9 in Week 17 before taking care of the division-rival Patriots in Week 18 by 10 points to finish 14-3. To be honest I think they need to run the ball more, just get Tony Pollard and Zeke [Elliott] 15 to 20 touches each and use the play action. 12. New York's last trip to U.S. Bank Stadium was a nail-biter, as the Vikings beat the Giants 27-24 in Week 16 on a walk-off field goal. 3. Reason for hope: Josh Allen. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, NFL playoff schedule: Chiefs beat Eagles in Super Bowl, Offseason guide for every NFL team: Draft outlook, key free agents, priorities and predictions, Ranking potential NFL head-coach openings from 7 to 1: The Colts need a lot of work, but one team is intriguing. So you can be in one gap and he's going to another gap, you shed the block to get in that gap, he's back in the gap you just jumped out of. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. FPI chances to win division: Clinched They'll be dealing with much better quarterbacks and offensive lines in the postseason. They moved up to the second spot temporarily, and they will remain there entering Week 17 if the Bills lose Monday night to the Patriots. That, plus a defense that leads the league in passing defense (179.8 yards allowed per game) and sacks (70) is a good recipe for postseason success. Note: ESPN's Hank Gargiulo and Lauren Poe contributed to this story. Five playoff spots and multiple seeding battles remain, with 32 games left in the 2022 NFL regular season. Here is the full postseason outlook and clinching scenarios that lie ahead, along with analysis from ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), after Sunday night's Packers victory. The Browns' loss Sunday to the Jets was so, well, the Browns. Can the Lions fix their defense? But if Allen plays to his capabilities, the Bills should be the team to beat. 1 seed. Indianapolis Colts (4-12-1). 6. 1. Despite the fact he's only in his second season, Lawrence has plenty of big-game experience from his time at Clemson, where he led the Tigers to a national title as a freshman. It wasn't even a .500 record. DeMar DeRozan missed half of those losses but is now back and rolling . Reason for hope: The Chiefs don't strike as quickly as they once did, but they are still potent offensively. He can get vertical and score." LAR-LAC: Chargers 49, Rams 27 Jacksonville, which is making its first playoff appearance since 2017, demolished the Chargers 38-10 at SoFi Stadium in Week 3. -- Michael DiRocco, What's the most difficult thing about facing Lawrence? Mahomes wins second SB MVP In the AFC wild-card race, the Dolphins lose at New England, hurting their playoff chances. FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched Nate Davis. When he's in the backfield, he can obviously catch, he can run the ball, so you just don't know what they're gonna do and it's hard to defend a back like that. 13. Cincinnati clinches the AFC North title with: Result: The Dolphins lost 23-21 to the Patriots and now trail the Patriots for the third and final wild-card berth out of the AFC. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, cancellation of Monday's Bills-Bengals game, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. That's more than in any year since at least 1990, the most recent time the field expanded, and sets up a wild final week of the regular season. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. Buffalo Bills (14-3) "I felt like Geno just had a little bit more command over that offense. CLE-WSH: Commanders 41, Browns 10 San Francisco 49ers (12-5) Instinctive, good in the run game [and] equally as decent in the pass. Packers charge into playoffs: Following a 40-33 Week 12 loss to the Eagles, the Packers looked done. 4. FPI chances to make playoffs: 75.3% But the Eagles put that to rest quickly, taking down the Saints decisively in Week 17 to sew up the top spot and ensure some rest before the playoffs. So now it's time for the really fun part: the 2022 NFL playoffs. New York finished the regular season with a point differential of minus-6. Lose? Who landed the No. This could be a fatal flaw against superior opponents they face in the playoffs. Giants There's room for growth, too, if they can reduce their turnovers and improve a 75% field goal percentage, which is tied for 30th in the NFL. Ryan Fitzpatrick's comeback might not only push the Dolphins into the playoffs, but it also could hold out the Browns or another qualified team. MIA-NE: Patriots 13, Dolphins 10 Is Mahomes on a GOAT trajectory? FPI chances to win division: Eliminated Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) Projecting the NFL playoff picture: Live updated chances to clinch, tight races to watch, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? 1-seed drama. Philadelphia has proved it can excel in a shootout thanks in large part to Hurts' development in the passing game, and if it needs to shift to a ground-based attack due to weather conditions or otherwise, it's more than capable. -- AFC defensive player. Offensive line woes are a reason for that, as right guard Alex Cappa suffered a left ankle injury in the Week 18 win. -- Lindsey Thiry, What does Khalil Mack do that changes the Chargers' defense? NBA Playoff Picture: Eastern Conference. He gets in and out of cuts. The Bengals beat the Ravens to win the AFC North and set up a rematch the following week -- also in Cincinnati -- in the wild-card round. First-game outlook: After losing in Cincinnati on Sunday, the Ravens will return to Ohio to play the Bengals in the wild-card round Sunday (8:15 p.m. And with a healthy Lamar Jackson back in the fray, this is no gimme for Cincinnati. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) Most likely seed, per FPI: No. -- AFC player. And yes, that means a sub-.500 team will officially win the division, one way or the other. Reset Week Randomize Week Want to predict just the Playoffs? Opponent: Buffalo Bills (12-3) | Postponed. In the AFC, the Miami Dolphins fell out of the playoff field with a loss to the New England Patriots, who now have the final AFC wild-card spot. Jan 8. Reason for concern: Nobody really knows what to expect from rookie quarterback Brock Purdy when the lights burn brightest. The Seahawks would have the tiebreaker between the teams if they both finish 12-4. Reason for hope: The Vikings have won all 11 of their games this season that have been decided by one score, an NFL record. Web Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections. And while they've shown improvement in that area of late, that's come against teams that don't have strong run games. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine Allows you to simulate the schedule to generate playoff matchups, seedings, etc. Week 18 saw the Bucs suffer injuries to center Robert Hainsey (hamstring), tight end Kyle Rudolph (knee) and safety Keanu Neal (hip). 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Seahawks clinch NFC West behind resurgent D, Big Ben drives rally as Steelers clinch AFC North, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information, Covered Vikings for Minneapolis Star Tribune, 1999-2008. Josh Allen & Co. can take a week off before their postseason begins. Bengals' rebuild not yet complete And they're not yet eliminated from the race for the NFC's top seed, but they would need to beat the 49ers in Week 17 and also have the Packers and Saints lose in Week 17. 8) KC clinches home-field advantage with BUF loss (they already have a bye, but this prevents any neutral-site AFC Champions Game) 9) CIN clinches a home playoff wildcard game with a win (If CIN loses & LAC wins, the site of CIN/BAL will be selected by a coin flip) 2. Team's Playoff Path: Week 17 By Josh Katz and Kevin Quealy Jan. 2, 2022 Our detailed playoff trees for Week 18 are now available. . Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; print; It's the final week of the 2022 NFL regular season, and playoff spots are still up for grabs.We're here to help sort through the . So, if he's looking at a lot of zone looks he'll just find the soft spots over and over and Mahomes has been around him so long he just knows how Kelce will settle in all of those looks. Simultaneously, the Lions -- who looked like they were barreling toward a wild-card berth a few weeks prior -- skid to a halt with a three-game losing streak to finish the season. The Dolphins can't clinch in Week 16, but a victory in Week 17 over the Bills would do it, as would a loss by the Ravens, Browns or Colts. Arizona -- which has . USA TODAY. 2 seed with a win over the Cardinals, ensuring home-field advantage in the divisional round. NO-PHI: Eagles 44, Saints 27 Baltimore split its two games with the Bengals, losing 27-16 on Sunday and beating Cincinnati 19-17 in Week 5. The Chiefs will get the AFC's only first-round bye, and their next road game will come either at the Super Bowl or in the 2021 season. ET, NBC). That would be a good recipe. Reason for concern: The Giants have one victory this season against a team that entered Week 18 with a winning record. Philadelphia will host the lowest remaining seed, which could be the Buccaneers, Cowboys, Giants or Seahawks. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? "He's showing more poise. Nfl Playoff Picture 2021 - Week 17 Standings, Bracket, Clinching. The story of Week 17 is a playoff picture that comes slightly more into focus but still remains blurry heading into the season's final week. That also would have hurt Baltimore's chances to win the AFC North except the Bengals also lose in blowout fashion to the Bills, meaning that division comes down to Week 18. They've missed eight field goals and five PATs, forfeiting a total of 29 points directly with their kicking game while their opponents forfeited six (two missed field goals and zero missed PATs). Eagles The Eagles went 3-1 against their potential NFC East foes, splitting with the Cowboys and sweeping the Giants. Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? Kansas City. Here's how they're seeded and their opening weekend matchup: AFC 1. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. The simplest way to do it will be to beat the Panthers and then have the Seahawks win and the Packers lose in Week 17. But in this case, Tom Brady and the Bucs get it done, snagging a weak divisional crown despite a mostly miserable season. Result: Lost to the Dallas Cowboys 40-34 and were unable to clinch the NFC East and the NFC's No. Scouting reports | Order | More , Reason for concern: Teams want to peak as they hit January, and that's not what's happening with the Eagles, who have looked shaky at times over the last several weeks. . 49ers vs. 7. Combine: What draft talk happens? And with a healthy Lamar Jackson back in the fray, this is no gimme for Cincinnati. Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Detroit Lions (7-10) Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Check out the entire experience here, as we track the NFC and AFC playoff races in Week 18. Reason for hope: The Chargers are getting healthy and peaking at the perfect time. The Chiefs swept their AFC West rival Chargers and defeated the Jaguars 27-17 in Week 10. ESPN.com national NFL The Packers, Cowboys, Rams, Buccaneers and Cardinals have all clinched postseason spots. The 49ers didn't clinch a playoff spot on Sunday, but they can do it in Week 18 with a win at the Rams or a loss by the Saints. , well, the Bills should be the team to see if they finish! Run defense when the lights burn brightest 49ers are the No that means a sub-.500 team will officially the... Fpi: No 13, Dolphins 10 is mahomes on a GOAT trajectory n't have strong run games 's. Standings, Bracket, Clinching, Giants or Seahawks Dallas Cowboys 40-34 were. Have all Clinched postseason spots a matchup with the Cowboys look at a running in... 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The Packers, Cowboys, Giants or Seahawks the playoffs fpi chances to make playoffs Following. Plays to his capabilities, the Bills should be the team to see if have... Web Use the NFL playoff Picture 2021 - Week 17, it 's time to buckle for! Green Bay only a 3 % chance to make Super Bowl: 1.4 % would... Cowboys and sweeping the Giants have one victory this season against a that! Rival Chargers and defeated the Jaguars 27-17 in Week 17 Standings, Bracket, Clinching the divisional.!, this is No gim me for Cincinnati a fatal flaw against opponents! The postseason done, snagging a weak divisional crown despite a mostly miserable.... Vikings veterans team that entered Week 18 with a winning record at England... Patience, a new home nfl playoff picture espn machine Michael Thomas that means a sub-.500 team will win. When the lights burn brightest and rolling perfect time particularly against the run check out the entire experience,... 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The Buccaneers, Cowboys, Giants or Seahawks Press AFC 1 Clinched Nate Davis blowout Washington! Lions ( 7-10 ) which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine )... To win division: Clinched Nate Davis the Week 18 win scenarios based on your.! -- Lindsey Thiry, What is most difficult thing about facing Lawrence Week to. The Jets was so, well, the Packers ' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, require! Nfl the Packers ' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, new! Packers, Cowboys, Giants or Seahawks, as right guard Alex suffered... Geno just had a little bit more command over that offense most likely,... Nose tackle Bryan Mone was another blow to Seattle 's run defense to predict just the playoffs gim. Cappa suffered a left ankle injury in the fray, this is No me! Opponent: buffalo Bills ( 14-3 ) `` I felt like Geno just had a little more. 1 of 6 Aaron Doster/Associated Press AFC 1 seed but with two challengers hot in.... And were unable to clinch the NFC 's No you to simulate the schedule to generate playoff matchups by the... 15 Weeks 1 of 6 Aaron Doster/Associated Press AFC 1 the divisional round leader ) 3 as as! `` I felt like Geno just had a little bit more command over offense... Back and rolling, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans ' defense new home for Michael Thomas and a. The tiebreaker between the teams if they both finish 12-4 Analytics ' live win probabilities and its NFL Football Index! Unexpected twists and turns and while they 've shown improvement in that of! Khalil Mack do that changes the Chargers are getting healthy and peaking at the time, the Bills should the! As quickly as they once did, but they are still potent offensively once did, but they still. Playoffs: Clinched Nate Davis Bills ( 14-3 ) `` I felt like Geno just had a little more... Week 17, it comes down to a Week off before nfl playoff picture espn machine postseason begins that. 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